The Rams will persevere over the Cardinals and Cowboys, two teams that confound in big games, and set up an ideological showdown: the win-now, all-in Rams against the draft-and-develop, sustained-success Packers. In the NFC, I think the Eagles are a revelation with their old-school bashing of opponents in the trenches and am picking a large upset over the Bucs, where the losses of Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette will be conspicuous. I picked the Packers over the Bills in the Small Market Super Bowl back in August, and I am sticking with it. I believe Green Bay will win, on the strength of Rodgers, Matt LaFleur and the Packers’ offense. For those reasons, I shudder at the hype but would look forward to a close game, one decided in the final minutes.
Rodgers’s season (beef with management, MVP, vaccine debates) compared with Mahomes’s season (forcing too much, fortitude drawn on, defense rounding back into form). Which would (but won’t, because I picked these games) set up a dream Super Bowl matchup. My vote went to experience, and in the conference championship, one player titled my decision: Patrick Mahomes over New England. And I saw Chiefs-Bengals as, more or less, a coin flip, given how the Bengals’ offense caught fire toward the end of the year. I have a funny feeling about the Titans, which led to another upset pick, with New England winning on the road again. I went back and forth on Bills-Patriots, and I gave the tiebreaker to Bill Belichick, in large part due to division familiarity and his track record in befuddling the Bills. The Chiefs and Bengals were easier choices for me in the wild-card round. It’s a tough conference to call-as tough as any I can remember, because it really seems like almost every team that’s in the playoffs could get hot and run through the postseason bracket.
Regardless, we’re all in for some new blood this Super Bowl season and a formidable personnel matchup. Maybe we’d just like to see what will happen in Buffalo if the Bills actually make it to the big game. Maybe we’re hoping for a changing of the guard. If the Bills can get by the divisional foil Patriots, it seems like they are on a collision course with the Chiefs to determine a conference champion. That said, the Titans are among the best-coached teams in football. 1 seeds we’ve seen, and those assuming the return of Derrick Henry means a return to form aren’t considering the seriousness of a Jones fracture and how difficult that might be for his planting and cutting. The Titans are among the most vulnerable No. Dillon is going to be cruising this winter en route to a featured role in 2022 it’s a draft pick we probably won’t be making fun of for very much longer. I apologize in advance for mushing the Packers, but this feels like the safest Super Bowl pick I have made in a very long time.
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